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Strong retail data support sterling, but outlook remains bleak

Sterling got support today from data showing British shoppers kept increasing spending last month, taking sales further above their pre-Covid-19 levels, although the outlook for the pound remains bleak.  The currency was up against the euro at 0.916 today but down 0.2% against the dollar at $1.295. It fell to $1.2866 yesterday when the Bank of England said…

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Budget 2021 – rewriting the rule book

There’s less than a month to go until Budget 2021, but already it’s shaping up to be unlike any other we’ve known in recent memory. Coming against the backdrop of the Covid-19 pandemic and what’s looking increasingly like no trade deal between the UK and the EU by year end, the government has two broad…

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Global economic recovery may take five years – World Bank chief economist

The global economic recovery from the crisis originated by the coronavirus pandemic may take as much as five years, the World Bank’s chief economist Carmen Reinhart said on Thursday. “There will probably be a quick rebound as all the restriction measures linked to lockdowns are lifted, but a full recovery will take as much as…

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Revenue extends Pay & File deadline to 10 December

Revenue has further extended the deadline for self-assessed income tax returns made online. The Pay and File deadline for submissions made via Revenue Online Service is now 10 December, as opposed to the previous date of 12 November. Revenue said Capital Acquisitions Tax returns relating to gifts or inheritances received in the year to the…

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Government says income tax won’t change in Budget

The Minister for Finance has confirmed that the Government does not plan to make any changes to income tax, USC or PRSI in October’s Budget.  Paschal Donohoe said it is the view of the Government that it needs to hold the personal tax code steady and use it to respond back to the challenges facing…

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Bank of Japan sees economic gloom lifting slightly

The Bank of Japan kept monetary policy steady today and slightly upgraded its view on the economy, suggesting that no immediate expansion of stimulus was needed to combat the coronavirus pandemic.  Markets are focusing on what Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda will say at his post-meeting briefing on how the central bank could work…

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Covid-19 and Brexit hitting different parts of the economy – ESRI

The Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) has found there is limited overlap between the parts of the economy most exposed to Brexit and the parts most exposed to the impact of Covid-19.   In a working paper, the ESRI said that if a no-trade deal Brexit were to occur, more companies overall would be…

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UK inflation falls but by less than expected in August

The UK’s restaurant subsidy scheme to support the hospitality sector through the Covid-19 pandemic helped to push the country’s inflation rate down to its lowest rate in almost five years, official data showed today.  UK consumer prices rose by 0.2% in annual terms in August. This was the smallest increase since December 2015 and a sharp…

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